MENTARI PAGI EDISI 462 SELASA, 11 DESEMBER 2018

REVIEW IHSG

Pada penutupan perdagangan Senin (10/12) Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan melemah 0.24% pada level 6111.360 atau -14.996 poin. Total volume transaksi bursa mencapai 11,34 miliar saham, dengan nilai transaksi Rp 8,21 triliun. Sebanyak 255 saham merosot pada perdagangan hari ini, berbandin 138 yang naik. Sedangkan 133 lainnya tak bergerak.

Investor asing mencatat Net sell di pasar reguler mencapai Rp 710,56 miliar, sementara di pasar keseluruhan Rp 1,05 triliun.

Delapan dari sepuluh sektor mengalami pelemahan. Sektor aneka industri melemah 0,87%. Selain itu diikuti sektor finansial melemah 0,43% dan sektor barang konsumer melemah 0,23% , sedangkan sektor agri menguat 0.4%, sektor basic-ind menguat 0.19%.

Pelemahan indeks kemarin dikarenakan melemahnya nilai tukar rupiah dan banyaknya indeks Asia mengalami pelemahan yang mengakibatkan kekhawatiran para investor lokal.

Dari segi teknikal, indeks akan mengalami rebound di area resistance 6150 dan support 6052, Nampak adanya pola bullish pin bar yang mengindikasi penguatan indeks hari ini.

 

BERITA EKONOMI

Ekonomi AS Diperkirakan Makin Terpuruk di 2020

Warga Amerika Serikat (AS) tahun depan akan mulai merasakan dampak dari perlambatan ekonomi dunia, kata kepala ekonom Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) Maurice Obstfeld dalam sebuah wawancara yang dipublikasikan Minggu (9/12/2018).

Namun, ia mengatakan negara dengan perekonomian terbesar di dunia itu tidak akan mengalami resesi baru.

“Kami telah lama memperkirakan pertumbuhan (AS) yang lebih rendah di 2019 dibandingkan apa yang kita lihat tahun ini,” karena dampak stimulus fiskal dan anggaran pemerintahan Presiden Donald Trump yang mulai menghilang, ujarnya.

Sumber: CNBC Indonesia

Opini Riset HIMA AE:

Untuk kali pertama sejak krisis keuangan global 2007, imbal hasil obligasi AS bertenor lima tahun lebih rendah daripada yield surat utang berjangka waktu dua tahun. Hal yang sama terjadi dengan yield obligasi bertenor lima dan tiga tahun. Sementara itu, spread yield antara obligasi 10 dan dua tahun, yang dipandang sebagai indikator resesi yang akurat, telah menipis hingga 0,11% dan dikhawatirkan akan segera jatuh ke zona negatif. Hal ini tentu akan berdampak bagi Indonesia diantaranya rupiah akan semakin melemah serta ekspor Indonesia yang akan terhambat akibat melambatnya pertumbuhan AS.

REKOMENDASI SAHAM

Pada tanggal 03 Desember 2018, Tim Riset HIMA AE membuat rekomendasi INDF Buy dengan target price 6710-7260 dan stop lost 6043. Tanggal 10 Desember 2018 Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk. (INDF) di tutup melemah sebesar -2.6%. hal ini di dukung oleh terbentuknya candle bearish dan indikator Stochastic yang berada di posisi jenuh beli dan membentuk pola Rally Base Drop. Jika dilihat dari analisa teknikal, kami prediksikan saham INDF akan mengalami pelemahan.

Rekomendasi    : Sell

DISCLAIMER ON
Create By: Research Hima AE
Khotimah
Ibnu Hasan
Dwi Saputri
Cindy Alicia
Hari Setiawan
M. Yusuf Alfikri
M. Fauzan Arlan
Putri Devy Andriyani
Ahmad Ali Ramadhan
Bella Ainun Gustiandini

Post by:

Witaningsih

Bela Indah Rahayu

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