Posted on 70 Comments on MENTARI PAGI EDISI 413 SELASA, 18 SEEPTEMBER 2018

MENTARI PAGI EDISI 413 SELASA, 18 SEEPTEMBER 2018

REVIEW IHSG

Senin, 17 September 2018 Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan melemah 1.80% pada level 5824.257 atau -107.024, aksi jual investor asing yang kembali net sell sebesar Rp 394,91 miliar. Seluruh Sektor mengalami pelemahan, sektor yang paling dalam mengalami pelemahan yaitu dari Sektor Aneka Industri -3,07%, diikuti dengan sektor Inflastruktur -2,5%

Melemahnya IHSG hari ini sejak sesi pertama hingga pasar tutup dikarenakan rilis data neraca perdagangan Indonesia yang berada di bawah level ekspektasi, Senin (17/9) BPS melaporkan defisit neraca perdagangan Agustus mencapai US$ 1,02 miliar. Angka tersebut jauh di atas ekspektasi pelaku pasar.

Jika dilihat dari segi Analisis Teknikal, berada pada resistance 6084.72 dan titik support 5620.85, tampak black candle yang mengindikasi bahwa IHSG melemah ,bisa diartikan juga akan terjadi kontinuitas bearish walaupun tidak kuat, dari segi Fundamental IHSG besok masih melemah didorong oleh data neraca perdagangan yang menunjukkan hasil di bawah ekspektasi. Selain itu, perang dagang yang kembali memanas juga menjadi sentimen negatif yang mendorong IHSG kembali melemah.

BERITA EKONOMI

Masih Parah, Neraca Dagang Defisit US$ 1,02 M di Agustus 2018

Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) merilis hasil ekspor, impor, dan neraca perdagangan Indonesia bulan Agustus 2018. Hasil ekspor pada Agustus 2018 tercatat US$ 15,82 miliar atau tumbuh 4,15% (yoy). Sementara hasil Impor pada Agustus 2018 tercatat US$16,84 miliar atau tumbuh 24,65% (yoy). Dengan hasil impor yang lebih tinggi dari ekspor, BPS melaporkan neraca perdagangan mengalami defisit US$ 1,02 miliar.

Sumber: CNBC Indonesia

OPINI RISET HIMA AE:

Defisit neraca perdagangan pada Agustus 2018 disebabkan oleh buruknya performa perdagangan migas. Dari total defisit neraca perdagangan sebesar US$1,02 miliar pada bulan lalu, ternyata defisit perdagangan migas justru lebih besar hingga mencapai US$1,66 miliar. Alasan membengkaknya defisit migas di tahun ini adalah naiknya harga minyak dunia dan melemahnya nilai tukar rupiah. Solusi untuk menekan defisit migas antara lain janji Presiden Joko Widodo untuk pembangunan serta revitalisasi kilang minyak dalam negeri harus terealisasi, penggunaan sumber energi baru dan terbarukan lainnya (seperti geotermal, angin, hidro/mikrohidro) perlu digenjot secara maksimal, dan yang paling sensitif di tahun politik ini adalah pemerintah harus menaikkan harga BBM khususnya premium apalagi jika tujuannya ingin mengurangi defisit transaksi berjalan serta menyelamatkan rupiah.

REKOMENDASI SAHAM

Pada perdagangan kemarin (Senin, 17 September 2018), BBHI ditutup menguat sebesar 34,6% menuju level 214. Dari segi Analisa Teknikal, candle saham BBHI pada perdagangan kemarin membentuk bullish candle yang mengindikasikan saham BBHI mengalami kenaikan. Terlihat juga adanya lonjakan volume yang didominasi oleh permintaan beli. Hal ini didukung oleh indikator stochastic yang bergerak menguat. Kami memprediksi saham BBHI akan akan mengalami penguatan.

Rekomendasi    : Buy

Target Price        : 233

Stop Lost             : 208

DISCLAIMER ON

Create By: Research Hima AE
Khotimah
Ibnu Hasan
Dwi Saputri
Cindy Alicia
Hari Setiawan
M. Yusuf Alfikri
M. Fauzan Arlan
Putri Devy Andriyani
Ahmad Ali Ramadhan
Bella Ainun Gustiandini

Post by:

Witaningsih

Bela Indah Rahayu

 

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